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What 675 Company Scores Reveal About AI Defensibility

We scored more than 675 companies, including 249 PE exits, on how well they can hold up against frontier AI labs. Here’s what stands out.

Oct 9, 2026
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• Software still holds up better than services. The median software exit ranks at the 59th percentile of PE exits; the median services exit, the 32nd.

• The strongest companies are consistently strong. Of the top 20 exits, 13 rank in the top 20% on all 5 primary metrics (Product, Data, Revenue, Market Position, and Business Model), not just one.

• Every company can improve. When we looked at one PE sponsor's portfolio, the average company jumped 17 percentile points: 12 from internal improvements and 5 from light M&A and partnership work. That took 16 of its 20 current companies into the top 20% of PE exits.

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